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- When the Cyber Guardrail Turns Up the AI, You Don’t Chase, You Set Triggers
When the Cyber Guardrail Turns Up the AI, You Don’t Chase, You Set Triggers
This isn’t old-school antivirus, it’s a cloud platform that monetizes new modules and scale. Revenue keeps compounding while margins fatten.
The multiple is rich, so buy pullbacks, anchor to adoption data, and let operating leverage earn your adds.

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UnitedHealth Group | UNH

Price: $367.69
UNH is rebuilding confidence after a bruising year, helped by fresh upgrades and a more stable outlook.
At ~16x earnings with a 2%+ yield, the risk-reward looks reasonable for a scaled payer plus services platform.
The path forward runs through medical cost trends, Medicare Advantage pricing, and execution inside Optum.
Treat this as a patience trade. Add on weakness while watching for utilization to normalize and medical loss ratios to tick better across key books.
Look for pricing discipline into the next plan year, stable commercial retention, steady state program pacing, and continued free cash flow to fund dividends and buybacks.
If earnings cadence firms while capital return stays steady, the gap back to prior multiples can close without forcing you to time a bottom.
Why it matters to you: You get a defensive earner with scale and long history of capital returns that can recover as cost trends cool.

Shopify | SHOP

Price: $163.86
SHOP keeps deepening its moat as merchants adopt AI helpers like Sidekick and Shopify Magic to speed creative, support, and merchandising.
The platform advantage is still speed at checkout, growing enterprise wins, and rising payments penetration.
Revenue, profitability, and free cash flow have moved decisively the right way, but expectations are high.
Treat pullbacks as chances to build a quality growth position.
Track GMV growth, take-rate expansion via Payments and Capital, offline POS momentum, and attach of new AI features that deliver measurable merchant lift.
Watch operating margin progression as AI tools scale, since that’s what sustains a rerate.
Manage risk by sizing for volatility and trimming into quick squeezes, then re-adding on base building.
Why it matters to you: You are owning the operating system for independent retail with AI doing real work, not just buzz.

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Freeport-McMoRan | FCX

Price: $43.32
Copper is the quiet backbone of AI, data centers, EVs, and a larger grid.
Supply is tight, project lead times are long, and new capex is cautious, which gives FCX real leverage to volume and price without heroic assumptions.
The tape can still be choppy with China headlines and cost curve shifts. Scale entries on red days when copper futures sag and be willing to trim into sharp squeezes.
Watch unit cash costs, realized pricing, and milestones on key projects that add low-cost pounds.
Capital discipline matters more than ever; if management keeps its balance between growth and returns, mid-cycle copper still prints meaningful free cash flow, and the upside case gets powerful if grid and AI buildouts stay hot.
Why it matters to you: A direct way to participate in the physical inputs to AI and electrification without guessing which software model wins.

McDonald’s | MCD

Price: $293.84
MCD is tuning the engine for its next leg with a seasoned strategy chief and a dedicated data, analytics, and AI leader.
The goal is simple—turn first-party data into faster service, smarter offers, and better unit economics—while keeping brand guardrails tight.
The model still rests on franchise health, pricing, and traffic mix, but a sharper analytics stack can lift throughput and digital ordering.
Own this like a compounding consumer machine. Add on rate-scare pullbacks and watch same-store sales, digital mix, and restaurant-level margins.
Monitor execution on menu simplicity, staffing, and promotions as the new data team standardizes playbooks across markets.
If those efforts translate into steady margin lift, the brand can press its advantage while keeping dividends growing.
Why it matters to you: A resilient cash generator with a rising data edge that can defend margins and extend its run.

CrowdStrike | CRWD

Price: $509.09
CRWD’s Falcon platform is cloud-native and AI-first, now spanning roughly 29 modules across endpoint, identity, cloud, and intel.
About 95% of revenue is subscription, which makes land-and-expand the core motion.
Management’s full-year guide implies around 20% growth while margins improve, a combo that justifies a premium when execution stays crisp.
The setup is a tug between valuation and unit economics. You do not need to be a hero to participate.
Start with a core and add on red days near rising moving averages, using net new ARR, module count per customer, and large-consolidation wins as your green lights.
Keep an eye on deals that bundle endpoint with identity and cloud posture, and track free cash flow growth to confirm operating leverage.
If attach keeps climbing and cash conversion stays strong, the stock can work without chasing every breakout.
Why it matters to you: This is the cleanest way to own AI inside security budgets. If execution holds, you ride a compounding subscription engine instead of a one-off product cycle.

Poll: What’s your instinct when everyone’s bullish? |

This basket blends durable compounding with selective torque.
CRWD gives you AI exposure where budgets are sticky, UNH offers defense and recovery, SHOP leans on product velocity and operating discipline, FCX ties you to the metals backbone of compute and the grid, and MCD pushes data-driven efficiency across a beloved consumer brand.
Size to volatility, add on weakness, let fundamentals set your next tranches.
Stat of the Day: $500 billion
Investor exuberance over AI keeps building as OpenAI’s new round implies a half-trillion valuation, which would slot it among the 16th largest name in the S&P500 index.
Keep cash-generating compounders and select AI beneficiaries so you participate in upside while managing downside.
Best Regards,
—Noah Zelvis
Everyday Alpha


