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This Wholesale Giant Just Found Its Holiday Cheat Code

The market spent most of this year treating this retailer like it peaked, then it reminded everyone what it really sells: confidence.

When value gets loud and budgets get tight, shoppers do what they always do: they go where the math works.

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Advanced Micro Devices | AMD

Price: $215.04

AMD is having one of those quietly strategic moments where the headlines matter almost as much as the chips.

CEO Lisa Su’s China meetings signal AMD is still playing for long-term relevance in its biggest market outside the U.S., even as policy risk stays front and center.

That’s the tension for 2026. If U.S. restrictions keep wobbling between “tight” and “selectively relaxed,” AMD’s product roadmap can work, but the stock can trade like a geopolitical weather vane.

The upside is obvious: AI demand keeps expanding, and AMD is one of the few credible alternatives to Nvidia across data center compute.

The downside is that export rules and local competition can turn growth into a grind.

Why it matters for you: AMD can rip when AI spending is strong, but the China lever can amplify volatility fast, both directions.

Taiwan Semiconductor | TSM

Price: $298.80

TSM is still the cleanest arms dealer in the AI buildout. Whether the winners are Nvidia, AMD, or someone new, most roads still lead to TSM’s foundries.

That neutrality is the superpower.

The next big narrative is efficiency.

TSM’s next-gen process improvements are not just about speed, they are about doing more compute with less power, which matters when data centers are hitting real-world electricity constraints.

Valuation is not bargain-bin, but it also is not priced like a hype stock.

If 2026 is another capex-heavy year for hyperscalers, TSM is one of the most direct ways to own the “picks and shovels” without betting on a single chip brand.

Why it matters for you: If AI spend keeps rising, TSM can benefit regardless of who wins the GPU beauty contest.

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Eli Lilly | LLY

Price: $1,076.98

Lilly continues to act like it owns the weight-loss narrative, and Wall Street is still treating the pipeline like a conveyor belt.

The near-term catalyst investors keep circling is the oral GLP-1 opportunity, because pills scale differently than injections, and that can expand the total market.

But LLY is also the poster child for a good problem: expectations are high. When a stock is priced like a dynasty, the market demands constant proof.

Manufacturing capacity, supply consistency, and the next wave of clinical readouts matter as much as blockbuster demand, because any wobble gets punished harder at this valuation.

Why it matters for you: Lilly can still compound, but it needs to keep executing like a premium brand every single quarter.

Exxon Mobil | XOM

Price: $119.22

Exxon is leaning into a simple pitch: more long-term earnings power, without asking shareholders for more capex patience.

Management’s updated plan points to higher 2030 earnings and cash flow expectations while keeping spending discipline, which is exactly what income investors want to hear.

This is not a meme stock story. It’s a scale-and-efficiency story, plus buybacks and a dividend that keeps paying you to wait.

The risk is still the same: oil and gas are cyclical, and politics can change the mood quickly.

But when crude is stable and management is disciplined, Exxon tends to look like the adult at the table.

Why it matters for you: XOM is built for steady cash flow plus returns, not fireworks, and that can be a feature in 2026.

Costco Wholesale | COST

Price: $871.86

Costco is basically the holiday season in stock form: crowded, efficient, and weirdly satisfying if you like saving money in bulk.

Shares have been in a cooling phase after a monster run, and that’s mostly a valuation story, not a business is broken story.

The real engine remains the same. Membership-driven retail is a cheat code because loyalty shows up even when the consumer is moody.

If households keep feeling squeezed, Costco tends to win the trade-down behavior while still holding premium traffic.

And if the market is willing to stop obsessing over the multiple for five minutes, the setup gets cleaner.

Why it matters for you: COST is a confidence barometer. When value matters, it wins. When sentiment improves, it can re-rate fast.

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📊 Stat of the Day: ~$1,000

Americans routinely spend around about a thousand bucks on Christmas when you add up gifts plus the extras, and the exact number swings a lot depending on what a survey counts (gifts only vs. food, décor, travel, and social spending).

Best Regards,
—Noah Zelvis
Everyday Alpha