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The Earth to Space Stock with Sky-High Potential
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AST SpaceMobile, Inc.
July 09 – Pre‑market
Ticker: ASTS | Sector: Communication Equipment - Technology | Market Cap: ~ $15.5B
30‑Second Take
Why now? AST SpaceMobile has recently recorded triple-digit growth but is now in a consolidation phase following profit-taking.
This pullback has created a strong opportunity for high-risk, high-reward-minded investors waiting for the right moment to add a promising communications stock to their portfolio.
The company has been building momentum via strategic partnerships and equipment financing.
Having been added to the Russell 1000 Index at the end of June, the current corrective phase is establishing a new base.
Swift action is recommended during this consolidation chapter as the launch of a major new satellite later this month could see AST prices reaching for the stars once again.
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Trade Setup
Time frame: Swing to medium-term
Edge type: Momentum breakout
Snapshot Table
Metric | Value | Current Stance |
|---|---|---|
Price | $45.47 | Average |
52‑week range | $11.41 - $54.05 | Average |
Short interest | 28.86% | Above average |
Next catalyst | Block 2 satellite launch – expected late July |
Chart
5-Day Synopsis: The last five trading sessions have seen a pullback taking place, with ASTS stock entering a normal corrective phase following a period of triple-digit growth.
The pullback is likely the result of short-term profit-taking in the wake of AST SpaceMobile’s addition to the Russell 1000 Index at the end of June.
Performance has been volatile throughout the week as it seeks a new baseline, with the chart showing a series of sharp peaks and troughs.
Prices have oscillated between a high of $47.64 and a low of $43.98.
Bull Case
Core thesis: AST SpaceMobile is pioneering a revolutionary shift in global communications by building the first and only space-based cellular broadband network designed to connect directly to standard mobile phones.
With a growing constellation of low earth orbit satellites, AST aims to eliminate dead zones and bring seamless 4G/5G coverage to billions of people in remote and underserved areas—without the need for ground-based towers.
It has strategic partnerships with major telecommunications players including AT&T, Vodafone, and Rakuten.
Catalysts: Despite recent profit-taking provoking short-term declines, ASTS has multiple catalysts up its sleeve.
The company has made several key moves in recent months.
In addition to its inclusion on the Russell 1000 Index, it has launched a new joint venture with Vodafone to power mobile broadband coverage across Europe.
Earlier in July, AST SpaceMobile also secured a $100 million liquidity facility from non-dilutive equipment financing and is working on a second project with Vodafone to bring direct-to-device broadband connectivity to users across India.
Valuation upside: The highest analyst price target is $60.00, with a low of $30.00. Current stock prices are currently sitting around the analyst average target of $45.34.
Technical tailwind: AST has created a solid foundation for growth with multiple catalysts converging. Its recent consolidation phase could provide the basis for a push toward the top-range price target of $60.00.
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Bear Case
Key risk: The key risk for AST SpaceMobile lies in its ability to fulfill its potential with the successful deployment and execution of its satellites.
Its satellite-to-smartphone concept hasn’t yet been proven at scale, so question marks surround the effectiveness of its high-cost satellite constellation.
A failure to achieve early success could put its industry partnership under threat and rattle investor and industry confidence.
Macro/sector headwinds: Satellite-to-smartphone connectivity remains a relatively new technology, and as such, achieving regulatory and technical approval across multiple countries remains a challenging prospect.
Securing the necessary rights in multiple jurisdictions isn’t a given and could set back AST’s growth trajectory.
Competitive threat: SpaceX poses one of the most immediate competitive threats to AST SpaceMobile.
Its Starlink internet service has partnered with T-Mobile to provide standard smartphones with satellite connectivity.
This places it in direct competition with ATS. With more than 6,000 satellites already in orbit, it could have the upper hand over ATS SpaceMobile.
Crowded-trade concern: ASTS’s upcoming satellite launch is a significant test for the company.
Any delay or technical issues could result in further drawbacks and cause the stock to fall sharply into bear territory.
Quick Checklist
✅ Thesis still valid after today’s close
✅ Volume confirms move above key levels
✅ Catalyst date double-checked (July 08, 2025)
Deep‑Dive Links
That’s all for today’s Everyday Alpha. We’ll have a new pick for you every morning before the market opens, so stay tuned!
Best Regards,
—Noah Zelvis
Everyday Alpha