How You Can Use Oil Volatility To Your Advantage With This Stock

Energy cycles can feel like riding an elevator with a mind of its own. Floors fly by, doors open randomly, and someone always presses every button.

When that happens, you don’t panic, you pick your exit.

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Delta Air Lines | DAL

Price: $58.27

Airlines aren’t buy-and-bury, but Delta earns its premium. Capacity discipline, solid corporate mix, and loyalty economics from SkyMiles give it a better floor than peers.

Fuel has cooled from the summer spike, unit revenues remain constructive into the holidays, and the cash machine is humming.

On basic value screens, DAL looks cheap. Low-teens or better free-cash-flow yield on 2026 numbers isn’t heroic if demand stays steady.

The game plan here is to treat DAL like a cyclical you buy into weakness.

Accumulate on oil pops or macro scare days, then trim when yields fall and the group rips.

Track three metrics of PRASM trends vs. guidance, fuel per ASM, and loyalty contribution (co-brand economics). 

Balance-sheet repair is ongoing here, so if net debt keeps stepping down and capex stays on leash, you’re getting multiple expansion for free.

Biggest risk remains a shock to demand or a fuel spike, so pair with energy or maintain a stop below your cost.

Why it matters to you: DAL is a pragmatic way to play resilient travel with valuation protection if the macro just muddles through.

Rivian | RIVN

Price: $13.49

Rivian lives at the intersection of hype and hardware.

The near-term scorecard is simple: get the R2 launched cleanly, keep gross margins marching toward breakeven, and show a believable autonomy/AI roadmap this fall. 

The R2 is the unlock. A sub-$50k starting point broadens the addressable market by an order of magnitude versus the current R1 lineup.

If the company can demonstrate supplier discipline and a smoother ramp than last time, the narrative moves from cash burn to path to scale.

This is a venture sleeve position, not a core.

Start small, add only on execution, closed higher highs on production updates, evidence of order momentum, and unit cost improvements quarter over quarter. 

Watch cash runway vs. capex, mix of Max Pack and dual-motor trims, and any credible announcements on driver-assist features that reduce warranty drag.

Optional pair trade here could be to go long RIVN against a basket of legacy ICE-heavy OEMs during EV-positive news windows.

Why it matters to you: asymmetry. If R2 lands and unit economics tighten, a low price-to-sales multiple can re-rate fast. If not, your sizing keeps the risk contained.

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Costco | COST

Price: $910.81

Costco is the compounding machine that refuses to get cheap.

The formula hasn’t changed: relentless traffic, high renewal rates north of 90%, member fee income that cushions margins, and disciplined SKU curation.

With inflation moderating, the club still wins both trade-down and trade-up, rotisserie chickens pull you in, and luxury watches and travel packages fatten the basket.

The only headache is the sticker price on the stock.

Some tactics here could be to build a position over time and let membership math work for you.

Add on rare downdrafts after strong quarters with conservative commentary or when the market throws a tantrum about valuation. 

Three tells to watch for with the company.

Membership fee growth vs. traffic, private-label (Kirkland) mix, and any hints of a membership fee increase (historically a powerful earnings lever).

For defensive balance, COST pairs well against more cyclical retail you already own.

Why it matters to you: in choppy macro, COST is the steady heartbeat. You sacrifice some near-term multiple comfort to own elite execution and durable cash flow.

Eli Lilly | LLY

Price: $845.63

When a company owns a category, the job is to defend share and stretch the runway.

Lilly’s GLP-1 franchise continues to set the pace with demand outrunning supply, while pipeline assets in Alzheimer’s and cardiometabolic expand the story beyond weight loss.

Yes, the multiple is Everest-high, but the earnings curve is equally steep if manufacturing scale, new indications, and international launches keep stacking.

You don’t chase vertical weekly moves, you scale in on pullbacks tied to supply headlines or rotation out of healthcare.

Focus your checklist on capacity expansions, payor coverage progression, and readouts that expand duration of therapy or eligible populations.

If you need stability, pair LLY with a cheaper big-cap pharma that benefits from the policy backdrop.

The risk here pricing scrutiny will ebb and flow, so keep dry powder for those headlines.

Why it matters to you: category leaders with visible multi-year growth deserve premium real estate in a portfolio.

Size it with respect to volatility, but don’t ignore the secular demand.

Chevron | CVX

Price: $154.04

If you want income plus torque, Chevron is back on the radar.

Shares have been meh on the surface, but the plumbing underneath looks better, with a mid-4% dividend, a fortress balance sheet, and multiyear volume growth from the Permian and Guyana after the Hess deal closes. 

That combo means strong operating leverage to any crude or refined product squeeze.

With capex largely pointed at high-return barrels and cash costs competitive, free cash flow can re-accelerate quickly on even modest commodity strength.

How to play it: think “core position with event adds.” Start with a starter stake here, then add on red days when oil dips or spreads compress.

Use the dividend as your carry while you wait.

Watch three things with the company. Permian well productivity vs. plan, Guyana project cadence, and downstream margins (cracks) into the holiday travel window.

If Brent holds up and crack spreads stay firm, buybacks likely re-ramp and the stock usually follows.

Risk check here is policy noise and ESG flows can whipsaw multiples, so keep it position-sized and avoid chasing green candles.

Why it matters to you: you get paid to wait, with upside if oil cooperates.

Today we have a mix of income and torque (CVX), value with operating leverage (DAL), venture-style upside (RIVN), a fortress retailer (COST), and a category killer in healthcare (LLY).

If the macro softens, Costco and dividends keep you afloat, if risk appetite returns, Rivian and airlines provide upside, and Chevron gives you a hedge on energy and inflation pulses.

Stat of the Day: 60%+

Gold is on pace for its best year since 1979, up roughly 46% in 2025.

Silver is stealing the show, up more than 60% and flirting with its highest monthly close ever around $47 per ounce. 

If you’ve ignored metals, consider a sleeve via miners or royalty names for torque, or ETFs for cleaner exposure.

Keep it modest, as commodities are spicy, but they can hedge both inflation stickiness and geopolitical pops.